Oil Market AI: answers and price scenarios from OPEC, IEA and EIA reports

Built for oil-market analysts, Oil Market AI puts monthly agency reports and market data behind one chat. Answers list the report passages they used; scenarios state probability, Brent impact and method.

Oil Market AI: scenario answer for a Suez Canal blockage with a Brent price chart and the reasoning behind it
Status
Live at orpitek.com/oilmarketai
Users
Oil-market analysts and researchers
Data
OPEC MOMR, IEA OMR, EIA STEO; market data from the EIA, FRED, JODI, the World Bank and IMF PortWatch
Our role
Product design, report pipeline, AI answers, web application
Problem
OPEC, IEA and EIA monthly reports run long, change every edition and often disagree, so one question can mean reading several reports by hand.
What we built
A live web application: a chat that answers from OPEC, IEA and EIA reports, a library of Brent price scenarios and a market dashboard.
Result
Analysts get a structured answer tied to its source, without reading each report in full.

The problem

Three monthly publications track oil supply and demand: the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR), the IEA Oil Market Report (OMR) and the EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). Each runs to dozens of pages. Comparing OPEC and IEA demand forecasts for 2026 means opening several editions. Turning an event such as a Gulf of Mexico hurricane into a Brent view also needs market data and history.

What we built

The chat answers oil-market questions from the report library. The scenario library covers what-if questions on sanctions, shipping chokepoints, OPEC+ policy, weather and demand. The dashboard tracks prices, OPEC output, OECD stocks, supply and demand, refining margins and market events. An MCP server lets analysts query the report library from their own AI assistant, with an API key from their account page.

Oil Market AI scenario library: question cards such as a Suez Canal blockage, each with a probability and a Brent impact range
Scenario library: question cards such as a Suez Canal blockage, each with a probability and a Brent impact range.

Reports and data

Reports are converted from PDF, including scanned pages, and split into sections. Sections are indexed twice: by meaning for plain-language questions and by exact keyword for a specific figure or series name. Market data comes from the EIA, FRED, JODI, the World Bank and IMF PortWatch. Each scenario is computed from these figures as they stood on the day it was run.

Oil Market AI scenario answer for a Gulf of Mexico hurricane: probability, Brent impact over 30 days in percent and US dollars per barrel, a Brent price chart and the event description
Scenario answer for a Gulf of Mexico hurricane: the impact is computed from a base Brent price with its date.

Answers with sources

Every chat answer has a Sources panel: report edition, section and match score for each passage, plus web sources when the reports fall short. A scenario answer states the probability, mechanism, historical analogy and supply-demand effect, with the Brent impact in percent and US dollars per barrel. “How this was computed” gives the formula and each assumption. Scenario pages are marked as scenario modeling, not investment advice.

Oil Market AI Sources panel for a chat answer about 2026 oil demand: three OPEC MOMR passages, each with its edition, section and match score
Sources panel for a chat answer on 2026 oil demand, with three OPEC MOMR passages.

The result

An analyst can ask how the latest OPEC and IEA demand views differ and get one comparison table. Each scenario shows its Brent impact and reasoning on one page. The same design works on internal material: an energy company, an investment team or a ministry could apply it to its own reports, research notes and data.

What the product does

  • Chat: plain-language answers from OPEC MOMR, IEA OMR and EIA STEO
  • Web sources: added when the reports do not cover a question
  • Scenario library: what-if questions on sanctions, chokepoints, OPEC+ policy and demand
  • Probability: a blended market and expert estimate for each scenario
  • Stated method: formula, assumptions and dated base figures behind each price estimate
  • Market dashboard: prices, OPEC output, stocks, refining margins and market events
  • MCP server: the report library inside the analyst’s own AI assistant

AI Applications

AI that answers from your own documents and links each answer to its source.

Data Platforms

One clean data model, so dashboards, search and AI show the same figures.

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Send us the reports your analysts read every month

List the questions they help your team answer. We will propose which reports and data a first pilot should cover.